Daily on Defense: NATO week in Washington, Zelensky wants to know Trump’s plan, Russia’s daylight attack, European elections tilt left

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BY JAMIE MCINTYRE

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A STORMY 75TH: When NATO was making plans to mark the 75th anniversary of the establishment of the alliance, the hope was that this week's summit in Washington would be a celebration of NATO's revitalization, strengthened by the addition of two new members, continued progress in collective defense spending, and a united front in supporting Ukraine in its existential war with Russia.

Instead, this year's leaders summit is fraught with fractious issues, including questions about the fitness of President Joe Biden, the intentions of former President Donald Trump should he return to office, and the actions of the leader of one NATO nation, Hungary's Viktor Orban, who continues to cozy up to Russian President Vladimir Putin and is effectively calling on Ukraine to surrender territory occupied by Russia.

"Our most urgent task at the summit will be support to Ukraine. Ukraine must prevail, and they need our sustained support," NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg told reporters in Brussels Friday. "NATO will take over the coordination and provision of most international security assistance, with a command led by a three-star general."

"For the first time, we have a NATO document agreed at the heads of state government level that we agree that we will provide Ukraine with the support they need to make them capable of defeating Russian aggression and deterring aggression in the future," Stoltenberg said. "This is a much stronger, much more predictable, much more capable commitment than ever before, because actually before we didn't have any NATO commitment on behalf of all 32 allies."

AUSTIN PREVIEWS UKRAINE MILITARY AID PACKAGE EXCEEDING $2.3 BILLION

'I'M UP FOR THE JOB': As he boarded Air Force One in Harrisburg late Sunday, President Biden answered a shouted question from the White House pool about whether he'd have to convince NATO members he's "up for the job."

 "I'm up for the job," Biden replied, shooting a thumbs up, before ascending the stairs to the plane. 

Stoltenberg also faced questions about Biden's fitness from reporters in Brussels Friday and on CBS's Face the Nation Sunday. "Do you truly believe that President Biden is mentally and physically fit enough to lead the biggest nuclear-armed ally for now and for the next four and a half years, and in your dealing with him recently, have you noticed any decline in his condition?" a reporter asked Stoltenberg at NATO headquarters Friday.

Stoltenberg said he had "good discussions" in his recent meetings with Biden that "Biden knows NATO very well" and that he welcomes Biden's "strong personal leadership" on Ukraine, while avoiding any assessment of Biden's mental acuity.

"One of the reasons why NATO is such a successful alliance is that we have always stayed out of domestic political issues," Stoltenberg said. "And if I start to say anything that makes it possible to connect me to ongoing political debates in any allied country, then I will actually just weaken the alliance."

Stoltenberg similarly avoided criticizing Viktor Orban directly for his visits to Kyiv, Moscow, and Beijing, where Orban advocated an immediate ceasefire, which would be tantamount to surrender for Ukraine. "There are no signs that President Putin is ready to negotiate for peace," Stoltenberg said in Brussels. "We saw his latest proposal, and that was that Ukraine should give up all the territory in the four provinces he has annexed illegally. Meaning that they should not only give up territory that Russia controls today, but actually give up a lot of territory that Ukraine controls today."

"Different NATO allies interact with Moscow in different ways," Stoltenberg said on CBS when asked about Orban's freelancing. "He didn't go there on behalf of NATO."

"The easiest way to end the war is to lose the war. But that's not peace. That's occupation," he added. "The only way to convince Putin that he will not win on the battlefield is to provide military support to Ukraine."

BIDEN CAMPAIGN DISMISSES UNCERTAINTY AND VOWS 'NO ONE' WILL WORK HARDER TO BEAT TRUMP

ZELENSKY: 'IF TRUMP KNOWS HOW TO END THIS WAR, HE SHOULD TELL US TODAY': Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is in Warsaw today, meeting with Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk before continuing to Washington for tomorrow’s NATO summit. Zelensky met yesterday with new British Defense Secretary John Healey in Odesa.

Healey, who was appointed after U.K. elections on July 4, issued a statement pledging continued support for Ukraine. "There may have been a change in government, but the U.K. is united for Ukraine," he said. "As the new defense secretary, I will ensure that we reinvigorate Britain's support by stepping up supplies of vital military aid.

In an interview with Bloomberg last week, Zelensky dismissed any suggestion that Ukraine should accept a ceasefire and begin negotiations with Russia.

"Russia has been always breaking all the agreements and has been killing our people," Zelensky told Bloomberg Television, so it would be difficult to trust any agreement that gives Russia time to rebuild its combat power. "We must understand that Russia would not be using ceasefire to simply accumulate equipment on the territory, our territory, that they've occupied. "They can accuse us of breaking or breaking the ceasefire and start another invasion. "It's really complicated for us. "It would be a significant loss for us if they invade again as in the beginning of 2022 when they have almost reached the capital city."

Zelensky was also clearly rattled by reports that Trump, if reelected, would pressure Ukraine with a threat to cut off U.S. aid to end the war on Putin's terms.

"It would be fair if Trump knows how to end this war, he should tell us today, because if there are risks to Ukraine's independence, there are risks that we will lose statehood, we want to be prepared," he said. "We want to understand whether in November we will have the powerful support of the U.S or will be all alone."

THE PLAN TO END THE WAR IN UKRAINE WITHOUT A VICTORY

Good Monday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre's Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Stacey Dec. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn't work, shoot us an email and we'll add you to our list. And be sure to follow me on Threads and/or on X @jamiejmcintyre

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HAPPENING TODAY: Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin meets with NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg at the Pentagon at 9:45 a.m. 

Delegations from NATO's 32 member nations will be arriving at Joint Base Andrews throughout the day. Stoltenberg is scheduled to throw out the ceremonial first pitch at this afternoon's 4 p.m. baseball game between the Washington Nationals and St. Louis Cardinals at Nats Park.

RUSSIA ATTACKS: In a rare daytime attack, Russia launched a barrage of missiles across Ukraine today, hitting a children's hospital and killing at least 20 people.

"Russian terrorists have once again launched a massive missile attack on Ukraine," Zelesnky posted on X. "Different cities — Kyiv, Dnipro, Kryvyi Rih, Slovyansk, Kramatorsk. More than 40 missiles of various types. Apartment buildings, infrastructure, and a children's hospital have been damaged."

Zelensky posted video of the Okhmatdyt Children’s Hospital in Kyiv, which he called "one of the most important Children's hospitals not only in Ukraine, but also in Europe."

"Okhmatdyt has been saving and restoring the health of thousands of children," Zelensky said. "Russia cannot claim ignorance of where its missiles are flying and must be held fully accountable for all its crimes. Against people, against children, against humanity in general."

ISW: 'THE RUSSIANS HAVE THE UPPER HAND': While Ukraine continues to improve its tactics, especially with drone operations, to inflict heavy casualties on Russian forces and disrupt their supply lines, Russia continues to make small advances and use its stand-off glide bombs to devastating effect on Ukrainian military and civilian targets, according to the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War.

"At the moment, the Russians have the upper hand," ISW's George Barros told CBS's David Martin in a sobering segment that aired on CBS Sunday Morning yesterday.  "The Russians are able to choose where, when, the tempo of battle, and what intensity that they want to conduct offensive operations anywhere along this entire 600-mile front line…It puts them within striking distance of some very important ground lines of communication [and] supply corridors that connect some of the really important large cities that constitute the backbone of Ukraine's defense of eastern Ukraine."

In his Bloomberg interview, Zelensky pushed back on any suggestion that Ukraine was losing but again lamented the slow pace of Western aid. "It's not a deadlock, it's a problematic situation," he said. "A deadlock means there's no way out. But a problem can be solved if one has the will and has the tools. We do have the will, and the tools – they haven't arrived yet."

"Political will is the decisive factor for this war," Barros told CBS. "It's not what happens on the battleground; territory can be lost, ceded, and recaptured again. But if we make the decision to abandon the Ukrainians, they will lose."

"Honestly, the center of gravity for this war, it’s not the field in Ukraine, but what happens here in Washington, just like it was in World War II, just like it is today," he said. "As long as the Russians actually fail in convincing the international coalition from continuing to support Ukraine, the Russians have no chance of winning."

SLIGHT LEFT TURN: In elections in France, the U.K. voters rejected right-wing political ideology, while in Iran, a moderate candidate (by Iranian standards) won over a hard-liner in an election marked by low turnout.

In France, the results produced no clear winner. The New Popular Front leftist coalition came in first with just over 180 seats, but far short of the 289 needed to control the 577-seat National Assembly. President Emmanuel Macron's centrist alliance won more than 160 seats, while Marine Le Pen's right-wing National Rally won just over 140 seats.

France now faces the prospect of political gridlock and paralysis that could last months.

In the U.K. the Conservative Party suffered its biggest defeat ever, as the Labour Party won a landslide victory, and named Keir Starmer prime minister. Among the 11 Cabinet ministers who lost their seats, was Defense Secretary Grant Shapps. Starmer will now enjoy a comfortable majority in the House of Commons that will make it easier for him to get his legislation through.

And in Iran, Masoud Pezeshkian, who ran on a platform of reform and reaching out to the United States,  won Iran's runoff presidential election Saturday, over hard-liner Saeed Jalili

OPINION: WHAT WILL PRIME MINISTER KEIR STARMER MEAN FOR THE US-UK RELATIONSHIP?

THE RUNDOWN: 

Washington Examiner: French election result: Left-wing coalition wins most seats in shocking upset

Washington Examiner: The plan to end the war in Ukraine without a victory

Washington Examiner: Ukraine's Independence Square transforms into makeshift national cemetery

Washington Examiner: Ukraine reconstruction controversy raises doubts about 'ultimate test' of country's future

Washington Examiner: Austin previews Ukraine military aid package exceeding $2.3 billion

Washington Examiner: US military bases in Europe heighten security threat levels

Washington Examiner: Israeli president proclaims 'absolute majority supports a hostage deal' as talks continue

Washington Examiner: ADL sues Iran, Syria, and North Korea alleging support for Hamas Oct. 7 attack

Washington Examiner: China sets stage for violent crackdown: 'Taiwan is a rebel regime'

Washington Examiner: China using Philippines as 'a dress rehearsal for Taiwan,' former Trump adviser says

Washington Examiner: Biden campaign dismisses uncertainty and vows 'no one' will work harder to beat Trump

Washington Examiner: Biden expected to make decision about future in 'next couple of days,' Hawaii governor says

Washington Examiner: JD Vance defends Trump's desire to investigate Biden in contentious interview

Washington Examiner: Pattern of brain damage could be linked to military suicides

Washington Examiner: Biden has admitted more than 5 million illegal immigrants: Congressional report

Washington Examiner: Biden administration flying 'large charter flight' of illegal immigrants to China

Washington Examiner: Arrests of illegal immigrants at Mexico border at lowest level since Trump

Washington Examiner: Trump asks Judge Cannon to halt classified documents case over immunity decision

Washington Examiner: Opinion: Restoring America's military industrial base

Washington Examiner: Opinion: Big changes are coming for the Pentagon budget

Washington Examiner: Opinion: Will the West do anything about China's drones for Russia?

Washington Examiner: Opinion: What will Prime Minister Keir Starmer mean for the US-UK relationship?

Breaking Defense: What Could a New Labour Government Mean for UK Defense?

AP: Boeing accepts a plea deal to avoid a criminal trial over 737 Max crashes, Justice Department says

Bloomberg: Cost of Sentinel ICBM Swells Again to $214 Million a Missile

Politico: NATO Needs to Look Toward Pacific Because of Current Realities, Jens Stoltenberg Says

AP: Trump says he can end the Russia-Ukraine war in one day. Russia's UN ambassador says he can't

AP: US Says Troops Are Leaving Niger Bases This Weekend and in August After Coup

Washington Post: What would happen if Russia detonated a nuclear bomb in space?

Washington Post: Iranian reformist wins presidency, beating a prominent hard-liner

CBS News: Hamas Rejects Report That It Dropped Key Demand in Possible Cease-Fire Deal

Aviation Week: USAF Secretary Looks to Implement Lasting Changes

Inside Defense: Air Force to Rethink Its Installations in New Action Plan Focused on Indo-Pacific Threat

Air & Space Forces Magazine: CCA Contract Expected in Fall; First Versions Under Construction

Space News: Seeding the Future of Space Warfare

Air & Space Forces Magazine: Space Force Adds Two New Launch Providers

Air & Space Forces Magazine: European Nations Deploy Fighters to Indo-Pacific, Joined by USAF

38 North: North Korea Reveals a Multiple-warhead Payload in Probable Failed Test

Military Times: Coldest War: 'Near-Arctic' China Joining Power Competition in North

National Security Journal: The Pentagon's Weapons Budget Needs a Jumpstart (By Mackenzie Eaglen from AEI) 

National Security Journal: How Russia Could Test NATO's Article 5 Pledge

National Security Journal: The Russia-North Korea Military Pact Is A Big Problem

The Cipher Brief: Vietnam's Economic Prowess is Drawing the Attention of World Military Powers

The Cipher Brief: How Hezbollah Fundraises Through Crime

THE CALENDAR: 

MONDAY | JULY 8

9 a.m. — Atlantic Council virtual discussion: “Debriefing the UK Elections,” with Ian Bond, deputy director, Center for European Reform; Ed Owen, founder, Power Test; and Yasmeen Serhan, staff writer at Time magazine https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/debriefing-the-uk-elections/

10 a.m. — Mitchell Institute Schriever Spacepower Series webinar with Space Force Lt. Gen. David Miller commander, Space Operations Command https://mitchellaerospacepower.org/event/schriever-lt-gen-david-n-miller

10 a.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace virtual discussion: “Pivotal State: Is a Deeper Alliance With Saudi Arabia Worth It?” with Dennis Ross, counselor, Washington Institute for Near East Policy, former senior director for the Central Region, National Security Council and former special assistant to former President Obama; Kim Ghattas, contributing editor, Financial Times; Aaron David Miller, CEIP senior fellow; and Christopher Chivvis, director, CEIP American Statecraft Program https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/07/pivotal-states

9 a.m. 901 F St. NW — Foreign Policy forum: "NATO in a New Era: Reassessing Transatlantic Security," with former U.S. Permanent Representative to NATO Kay Hutchinson Bailey, senior adviser, Center for Strategic and International Studies Office of the President; House Foreign Affairs Chairman Michael McCaul (R-TX); Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA); and U.S. Permanent Representative to NATO Julianne Smith https://foreignpolicy.com/events/nato-in-a-new-era/

10 a.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Hudson Institute discussion: “Maritime Security and Next-Generation Technologies: A Platform for Cooperation between NATO and Its Asia-Pacific Partners,” with Benedetta Berti, head of policy planning, Office of the NATO Secretary General; Tsuneo Watanabe, senior research fellow, Sasakawa Peace Foundation; Peter Rough, director, Hudson Center on Europe and Eurasia; and Kenneth Weinstein, Hudson Japan chair https://www.hudson.org/events/maritime-security-next-generation

10:15 a.m. 214 Massachusetts Ave. NE — Heritage Foundation discussion: “Holding China Accountable for Its Role in the Most Catastrophic Pandemic of Our Time: COVID-19,” with former Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe, chairman, Heritage Foundation’s Non-partisan Commission on China and COVID-19; David Feith, adjunct senior fellow, Center for a New American Security’s Indo-Pacific Security Program; and Jamie Metzl, founder of OneShared.World https://www.heritage.org/china/event/holding-china-accountable

1 p.m. 901 F St. NW — Foreign Policy forum: “Strengthening Alliances Amid Evolving Threats," with Radha Iyengar Plumb, DOD chief digital and artificial intelligence officer; German Air Force Gen. Chris Badia, NATO deputy supreme allied commander for transformation; James Appathurai, deputy NATO assistant secretary general for innovation, hybrid and cyber; Bonnie Denise Jenkins, undersecretary of state for arms control and international security; Scott Bray, assistant NATO secretary general for intelligence and security; Romanian Ambassador to the U.S. Andrei Mauraru; and Lithuanian National Defense Minister Laurynas Kasciunas https://foreignpolicy.com/events/fp-security-forum/

2:15 p.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Hudson Institute discussion: “Threats to the U.S.-led World Order,” with House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) https://www.hudson.org/events/speaker-mike-johnson

TUESDAY | JULY 9

8 a.m. 801 Allen Y. Lew Pl. NW — The North Atlantic Treaty Organization Washington Summit, from July 9-11, marking the 75th anniversary, 32-member alliance Full schedule at https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/events

8 a.m. 1779 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace discussion: “Is NATO a Good Deal? Making the Case for the Alliance to the Public,” with Sen. John Hickenlooper (D-CO); former Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano, founder, University of California at Berkeley’s Center for Security in Politics; Swedish Foreign Affairs Minister Tobias Billstrom; and Bianna Golodryga, CNN senior global affairs analyst https://carnegieendowment.org/events/2024/06/shaping-nato

9 a.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Hudson Institute discussion: “America’s Foreign Policy Challenges,” with Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA); and Walter Russell Mead, fellow in strategy and statesmanship, Hudson Institute https://www.hudson.org/events/ro-khanna-america-foreign-policy

9 a.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Hudson Institute discussion: “The Iran Threat to U.S.-NATO Security,” with former Rep. Ted Deutch (D-FL) CEO, American Jewish Committee https://www.hudson.org/events/iran-threat-us-nato-security

9 a.m. — German Marshall Fund, U.S. virtual discussion:, “China-Russia Alignment: A Threat to Europe’s Security,” with Natalie Sabanadze, senior research fellow, Chatham House Russia and Eurasia Programme; Abigael Vasselier, head, Mercator Institute for China Studies’s foreign relations team; and Gunnar Wiegand, GMFUS visiting fellow https://www.gmfus.org/event/china-russia-alignment-threat-europes-security

9:30 a.m. — Atlantic Council virtual discussion: “The Nordic-Baltic Region: Cooperation in NATO’s Northeast,” with Swedish Foreign Minister Tobias Billstrom; Latvian Foreign Affairs Minister Baiba Braze; Norwegian Foreign Affairs Minister Espen Barth Eide; Icelandic Minister of Foreign Affairs Thordis Kolbrun Reykfjord Gylfadottir; Lithuanian Minister of Foreign Affairs Gabrielius Landsbergis; Danish Foreign Affairs Minister Lars Lokke Rasmussen; Finnish Political State Secretary Pasi Rajala; and Mary Louise Kelly, co-host of NPR’s All Things Considered https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/the-nordic-baltic-region

10 a.m. 2255 Rayburn — House Foreign Affairs Global Health, Global Human Rights, and International Organizations Subcommittee and Indo-Pacific Subcommittee hearing: “Roundtable with North Korean Defectors," with Choi Jeong-hun, member, North Korean People’s Liberation Front; Hu Kang-il, member, Committee for Democratization of North Korea; Jang Sei-ul, member, Korean Unification Solidarity; Kim Heung-kwan, member, North Korea Intellectual Solidarity; Kim Ji-young, member, Free North Korea Radio; Lee So-ra, member, Korea of All; Lee Sun-ok, member, Korean Unification Solidarity; Park Jung-oh, member, Kuensaem; and Park Sang-hak, member, Fighters for Free North Korea http://foreignaffairs.house.gov

10:30 a.m. 1777 F St. NW — Council on Foreign Relations discussion: "Transatlantic cooperation, Russia’s war in Ukraine, and priorities for the NATO Summit in Washington," with Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen RSVP to [email protected]

11 a.m. 214 Massachusetts Ave. NE — Heritage Foundation discussion: “Not Your Grandfather’s NATO: Restoring the Alliance,” with Rep. Michael Waltz (R-FL); former Deputy Assistant Defense Secretary for Strategy and Force Development Elbridge Colby, co-founder and principal, Marathon Initiative; and Robert Greenway, director, Heritage Center for National Security https://www.heritage.org/defense/event/not-your-grandfathers-nato-restoring-the-alliance

11 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Ukraine and Transatlantic Security on the Eve, NATO Summit,” with Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA), Rep. Tom Suozzi (D-NY); and Elizabeth Hoffman, CSIS director of congressional and government affairs and fellow https://www.csis.org/events/ukraine-and-transatlantic-security-eve-nato-summit

12 p.m. 1777 F St. NW — Council on Foreign Relations discussion: "Greece’s strategic defense efforts and opportunities for security cooperation in the Mediterranean,” with Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis RSVP to [email protected] 

12:30 p.m. 1615 H St. NW — U.S. Chamber of Commerce NATO Summit Defense Industry Forum with Deputy Defense Secretary Kathleen Hicks; White House National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan; Undersecretary of State for Arms Control and International Security Bonnie Jenkins; NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg; Belgian Defense Minister Ludivine Dedonder; Croatian Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Ivan Anusic; Danish Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Lund Poulsen; Lithuanian Defense Minister Laurynas Kasciunas; Norwegian Defense Minister Bjorn Arild Gram; Slovakian Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Robert Kalinak; Swedish Defense Minister Pal Jonson; Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov; Estonian Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur; Italian Defense Minister Guido Crosetto; Radka Konderlova, director general, Czech Ministry of Defense; and Polish Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Wladyslaw Kosiniak-Kamysz Livestream at https://events.uschamber.com/natosummitdifvirtual

12:30 p.m. — Atlantic Council virtual discussion: “Turkey’s Emerging Defense Technologies and the Future of NATO,” with former national security adviser retired Marine Gen. James Jones, founder, Jones Group International and executive chairman emeritus, Atlantic Council; Thomas Hammes, nonresident senior fellow, Atlantic Council Forward Defense program; Can Kasapoglu, non-resident senior fellow, Hudson Institute; and Rich Outzen, nonresident senior fellow, Atlantic Council in Turkey https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/turkeys-emerging-defense-technologies

1 p.m. 1000 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Cato Institute conference on “NATO at 75: Rebalancing the Transatlantic Alliance,” with Rep. Warren Davidson (R-OH); Curt Mills, executive director, American Conservative; Barry Posen, professor of political science, Massachusetts Institute of Technology; Jennifer Kavanagh, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace senior fellow; Brian Blankenship, assistant professor, University of Miami; and Joshua Shifrinson, associate professor, University of Maryland https://www.cato.org/events/nato-75-rebalancing-transatlantic-alliance

1:30 p.m. — Council on Foreign Relations virtual media briefing: “Update on UK and France Elections and NATO Summit,” with Liana Fix, CFR fellow for Europe; Charles Kupchan, CFR senior fellow; Sebastian Mallaby, CFR senior fellow for international economics; and Matthias Matthijs, CFR senior fellow for Europe RSVP: [email protected]

2 p.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Hudson Institute discussion: “Prospects for Ukraine and the outlook for Lithuanian security,” with Lithuanian Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis https://www.hudson.org/events/conversation-lithuanian-foreign-minister

3 p.m. — U.S. Institute of Peace virtual discussion: “Strengthening Security Through Democratic Resilience,” with Rep. Gerald Connolly (D-VA); Annika Silva-Leander, head of North America and permanent observer to the U.N., International Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance; Joseph Brinker, policy fellow for democratic resilience, NATO Parliamentary Assembly; Patrick Quirk, vice president for strategy, innovation and impact, International Republican Institute; David Salvo, managing director, German Marshall Fund’s Alliance for Securing Democracy; and Calin Trenkov-Wermuth, USIP security governance adviser https://www.usip.org/events/nato-summit-side-event

4 p.m. 1201 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Hudson Institute discussion: “Moldova’s foreign policy and the Washington summit,” with Moldovan Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mihai Popsoi https://www.hudson.org/events/conversation-moldovan-deputy-prime-minister

WEDNESDAY | JULY 10

8 a.m. 801 Allen Y. Lew Pl. NW — The North Atlantic Treaty Organization Washington Summit through July 11, marking the 75th anniversary, 32-member alliance Full schedule at https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/events

9 a.m. — Atlantic Council, Center for a New American Security, German Marshall Fund, U.S., GLOBSEC, and Hudson Institute 2024 NATO Public Forum https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FTPSdOnAxvs

1 p.m. 2044 Rayburn — Defense Forum Foundation discussion with North Korean escapees on “The Road to Peaceful Unification is the End, Kim Regime: Let Us Show the Way” RSVP: [email protected]

2 p.m. — Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe hearing: “Putin’s Syrian Puppet: War Crimes and Complicity from Syria to Ukraine,” with film director and producer M. Night Shyamalan, co-founder and president, M. Night Shyamalan Foundation; Mohammed Alaa Ghanem, Syrian civil society leader and human rights activist; and Mouaz Moustafa, executive director, Syrian Emergency Task Force https://www.youtube.com/live/DR3HLmoMMiY

4 p.m. — U.S. Institute of Peace virtual discussion: “China-Taiwan Competition: Why It Matters for Peace and Stability in the Pacific,” with Graeme Smith, senior fellow at Australian National University’s Department of Pacific Affairs; and Gordon Peake, USIP senior adviser on Pacific islands https://www.usip.org/events/china-taiwan-competition

8 p.m. — Jews United for Democracy virtual discussion: n “Legal Aspects, War Against Israel,” with Steve Zipperstein, associate director, University of California, Los Angeles’ Center for Middle East Development and professor, UCLA Luskin School of Public Affairs and in the UCLA Global Studies Interdepartmental Program; and Madeleine Brand, host of Press Play https://www.jewsunitedfordemocracy.org/event

THURSDAY | JULY 11

8 a.m. 801 Allen Y. Lew Pl. NW — The North Atlantic Treaty Organization Washington Summit final day. Full schedule at https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/events

9 a.m. 216 Hart — Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on pending nominations http://www.armed-services.senate.gov

9 a.m. — Atlantic Council, Center for a New American Security, German Marshall Fund, U.S., GLOBSEC, and Hudson Institute 2024 NATO Public Forum https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TJDInbKh9U4

9 a.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies "South China Sea Conference,” with Kathryn Paik, CSIS senior fellow; Charles Edel, CSIS Australia chair; Andreyka Natalegawa, CSIS associate fellow; Harrison Pretat, deputy director, CSIS Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative; and Gregory Poling, director, CSIS Asia Program https://www.csis.org/events/fourteenth-annual-south-china-sea-conference

9:30 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “What Happened, NATO Summit?” with former Assistant Defense Secretary for Asian and Pacific Security Affairs Mark Lippert, CSIS Korea chair; Sue Mi Terry, senior fellow for Korea studies, Council on Foreign Relations; Max Bergmann, director, CSIS Europe, Russia, and Eurasia Program; and Victor Cha, CSIS senior vice president for Asia https://www.csis.org/events/what-happened-nato-summit

10 a.m. — Arab Center virtual discussion: “The Looming Israel-Hezbollah War: Prospects, Deterrence, and Impacts,” with Joseph Bahout, director, American University of Beirut’s Institute for Public Policy and International Affairs; Rola El-Husseini, associate professor of political science at Lund University; Paul Salem, Middle East Institute vice president for international engagement; Imad Harb, Arab Center director of research and analysis; and Patricia Karam, Arab Center nonresident fellow https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register

12 p.m. 1616 Rhode Island Ave. NW — Center for Strategic and International Studies discussion: “Air and Missile Defense in the High North," with Sen. Dan Sullivan (R-AK); retired Army Gen. Charles Jacoby, chair, U.S. Military Academy at West Point’s Modern War Institute and former commander, North American Aerospace Defense Command and U.S. Northern Command; and Tom Karako, senior fellow, CSIS International Security Program and director, CSIS Missile Defense Project https://www.csis.org/events/air-and-missile-defense-high-north

2:30 p.m. — Washington Post Live virtual discussion: “NATO, Trump and the Latest in Ukraine,” with former White House national security adviser John Bolton https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live

7 p.m. 101 Independence Ave. SE — Library of Congress hosts the 75th Anniversary NATO Symphony Orchestra Concert with musician Peter Frampton 

FRIDAY | JULY 12

9 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: “Israel’s Missile Defense Engagements Since October 7th,” with Moshe Patel, director, Israel Missile Defense Organization; and Tom Karako, senior fellow, CSIS International Security Program and director, CSIS Missile Defense Project https://www.csis.org/events/israels-missile-defense-engagements-october-7th

9:30 a.m. 1789 Massachusetts Ave. NW — American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research discussion: “Europe’s Security After the Washington Summit,” with Polish Foreign Affairs Minister Radoslaw Sikorski; Kori Schake, AEI director of foreign and defense policy studies; and Dalibor Rohac, AEI senior fellow https://www.aei.org/events/europes-security-after-the-washington-summit

10:45 a.m. — Atlantic Council virtual discussion: “Bolstering Transatlantic Security and Solidarity,” with Jan Jires, director general of defense policy and planning, Czech Ministry of Defense; Lt. Gen. Karel Rehka, chief, General Staff, Czech Armed Forces; J.R. McDonald, vice president for business development at Lockheed Martin; Valbona Zeneli, nonresident senior fellow, Atlantic Council Europe Center; and former U.S. Ambassador to Poland Daniel Fried, fellow, Atlantic Council Eurasia Center https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/bolstering-transatlantic-security

11 a.m. 1030 15th St. NW — Atlantic Council discussion: “Beyond the Summit: Outcomes and the Path Forward to Ukraine’s NATO Membership,” with Paul Good, president, Ukrainian World Congress; Nico Lange, senior fellow, Munich Security Conference; Michal Szczerba, member, European Parliament (via video); former U.S. Ambassador to NATO Kurt Volker, fellow, Center for European Policy Analysis; former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine John Herbst, senior director, Atlantic Council’s Eurasia Center; and Shelby Magid, deputy director, Atlantic Council Eurasia Center https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/beyond-the-summit-outcomes

12:15 p.m. — Atlantic Council virtual discussion: “Next Steps for Transatlantic Cooperation Post-NATO Summit,” with Czech Republic President Petr Pavel; Jan Jires, director general of defense policy and planning, Czech Defense Ministry; Karel Rehka, chief, general staff, Czech Armed Forces; former Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian affairs and former U.S. Ambassador to Poland Daniel Fried, fellow, Atlantic Council; and Valbona Zeneli, nonresident senior fellow, Atlantic Council https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/czech-president

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QUOTE OF THE DAY
"Power will change hands in a peaceful and orderly manner, with good will on all sides. That is something that should give us all confidence in our country's stability and future."
British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, Friday after his Conservative party lost its majority in parliament to the liberal Labour party.
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