Morning Jolt: Hard Truths for the Trump Camp

WITH JIM GERAGHTY

July 30 2024

On the menu today: The relatively minute shifts in national and swing-state polling after the dramatic events of the past month suggest that Donald Trump has a hard ceiling. The good news for the Republican nominee is that he appears to still be in the lead — but that lead is shrinking, and the Democratic Party is dramatically rejuvenated. Also, J. D. Vance is demonstrating a bizarre gift for making a long-standing part of the tax code that enjoys broad bipartisan support sound scary and unfair.

Trump’s Poll Numbers Can’t Be Waved Away

The most recent New York Times/Siena poll found that 87 percent of registered voters approved of President Biden's decision to drop out of the 2024 race, and only 9 percent disapproved.

You'll notice that the right-of-center "poll truthers" didn't come out to question that one. Nobody's arguing that the poll had too many landline and not enough cellphone users, or that the sample had too many old people or too many young people or wasn't correctly balanced in terms of ...

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