The Hidden Crime Problem in Canada and Australia and Why it Matters in Political Debates, Major Court Victory, and Exciting News for the CPRC

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Crime Prevention Research Center

Dear Diogenes:

In my latest Toronto Sun piece, co-authored with Canadian professor Gary Mauser, we examine our new research showing that Canada suffers from a remarkably high violent crime rate . The article builds on my earlier deep dive into Australia's crime rates.

Across countries, people typically focus only on crimes reported to the police. That creates a serious problem when reporting rates differ. In Canada, only about 29% of violent crimes were reported to police, while in the United States the figure was 41%. Even if both countries experienced exactly the same actual level of violent crime, the higher reporting rate in the United States would make its violent crime rate appear 41% higher than Canada's in 2019 (41% ÷ 29% = 1.41).

As a result, many people in countries such as Canada and Australia mistakenly view the United States as the uniquely dangerous country with the highest violent crime rates. As we explain in the Toronto Sun article, that misconception stems from a misunderstanding of what reported crime statistics actually measure. Reported crime rates reflect not only the amount of crime that occurs but also how often victims choose to report crimes to the police. 

Gun control advocates frequently cite Australia and Canada as examples for the United States to follow. How often have you heard that the US has high gun ownership and high crime rates? The debate in those countries doesn't stay there—it shapes the debate here as well. We need to educate people in those countries about their crime rates to begin to change the debate.

I also had a related discussion on Gun Radio Utah that focused on Australia's high violent crime rate.

Great news this week from the Supreme Court when it struck down Hawaii's attempt to ban people carrying permitted concealed handguns in public places without prior approval from the property owners. We had submitted an Amicus brief in the case along with the Peace Officers Research Association of California and the California Association of Highway Patrolmen and I also had an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal on this case.

By the way, this is the 500th email blast that we have sent out since we started in 2013. I hope you find them useful. For a while, we sent out emails weekly, but eventually we scaled it back to once every two weeks.

On some good news, David Mustard, , a distinguished professor at the University of Georgia who researches extensively on crime, will be joining the CPRC in July. David was my co-author on the original research that launched by involvement in the gun control debate, and he is a very important addition to the team. David will eventually take over Carl Moody's position as our research director. Your donations helped make it possible for us to bring David on board. Thank you. Again, as I do twice a year, I have to ask for donations that keeps up running. I have an anonymous donor who will match donations up to the first $12,000 we raise. You can donate here, and thank you very much for your support!

My RealClearInvestigations research on the rapidly growing number of Americans carrying concealed handguns generated a number of media interviews. I discussed the findings on national radio programs including The Lars Larson Show, SiriusXM's Stacy on the Right, The Bill Martinez Show, and Armed American Radio, as well as on local stations such as St. Louis's KFTK. We have also continued our work into the rates that people are carrying concealed handguns in other countries, with Montenegro, in Eastern Europe, possibly having 11% of adults legally carrying a handgun for protection -- by the way, their murder rate is much lower than the rate for all of Europe.

Bob Frantz had me on his show to push back on the claims of racial bias in the US criminal justice system. People focus on the race of the criminal, but completely ignore the race of the victims -- with criminals overwhelmingly committing crimes agains people who are just like themselves.
Our work continues to get extensive coverage ranging from the Toronto Sun and the American Thinker to Breitbart and Real Clear Investigations
In other news, you would have completely missed it if you relied on the New York Times, Washington Post or CNN for your news, but the alleged ringleader of the White House UFC fight terrorist plot was an illegal alien from Mexico. President Trump announced his push for nationwide reciprocity for concealed carry. While California allows 30 days for a full official ballot count, a new survey shows that most likely voters think the process should be completed within 24 hours. We have also compiled some data on the speed that votes are counted in other states and the rest of the world. Finally, I posted some thoughts on the new Supreme Court decision in U.S. v. Hemani.
If you haven’t already seen it, please watch our new video with John Stossel, which covers our new research showing errors in the FBI’s active shooting reports.
For those who haven't already done so, if you would like to help us get the information out to others, please consider posting reviews of our website on the Google business page that we have set up. The more positive reviews people post, the more Google will feature our webpage in their searches. Thank you very much!

We need help getting our research out. It doesn't do us any good to do all this work if people don't see it. If you have friends you think might find our emails interesting, please encourage them to sign up by sending them the link here. Thank you very much.

Again, we need your support to continue doing the work that we do. I don't think that there is any organization with as small of a budget that regularly produces as much as we do. Thank you very much!

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Research

At Real Clear Investigations: Gun Safety: Violent Crime Drops as More Americans Pack Heat

Canada is a much more dangerous country than the United States. Total violent crime in Canada is 295% higher than the US.

UPDATED: New Survey on the Rate that People Carry Concealed Handguns: Percent of Americans Carrying Increased from 24.3% in December 2024 to 29.8% in May 2026

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Op-eds

In the Toronto Sun: Canada’s crime problem worse than people realize

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Recent Talks

Talk in Houston: Gun Control Myths

Talk in Houston: The FBI Crime Data is a Politicized Mess

Talk at the Cooley Law School in Michigan on the Problems with Government Crime Data

Dinner Talk in Phoenix, Arizona on March 27th

Talk at the University of Houston: The Role of Economics in Understanding Law

Worth listening to:”Salon” style dinner-inclusive event at a private home in Sydney, Australia to discuss crime and gun control laws

Talk to an Election Integrity Event in DC

Talking to Australian University Students about crime rates, mass public shootings, and gun control

Talk at Australia National University: Do Armed Civilians Stop Active Shooters More Effectively Than Uniformed Police?

Talk in Brazil 2025 on How to Make People Safer

PowerPoints from a Debate at the University of Connecticut Law School and a Lecture at the University of Pennsylvania Law School

Talk in Buenos Aires – Mitos sobre el control de armas – Mas armas menos Crimen, English: Myths about gun control – More guns, less crime

Television/Podcast interviews

On Ask Dr. Drew: Understanding the Crime Data

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Radio interviews

 

On Strictly Speaking – Unfiltered with Bob Frantz: To Discuss Racial Bias in the Criminal Justice

 

On Gun Radio Utah: The Shocking Truth about Australian Crime Rates

 

On the Lars Larson Show: To Discuss New Survey on the Rate that People Carry Concealed Handguns

Worth Listening to: On St. Louis’ Giant KFTK-FM: Discussing Concealed Carry and Crime Rates

On Sirius XM’s Stacy On The Right: To Discuss Concealed Carry and Falling Violent Crime

On Armed American Radio: To Discuss Concealed Carry Survey and Violent Crime Trends

On The Bill Martinez Show: To Discuss Concealed Carry Survey and Crime Trends

 

On Montana Talks, Talk Back: Discussing a wide range of crime and gun control issues

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Media Coverage

CPRC in the News: Toronto Sun, American Thinker, Western Standard, Colion Noir Podcast, and Many More

CPRC in the News: Breitbart, Real Clear Investigations, Outdoor Wire, Liberty Nation News, Western Sport, The Truth About Guns, and More

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Amicus Brief

Amicus Brief for the Supreme Court, Wolford et al v Lopez (Hawaii), on Gun-free Zones in Hawaii

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Televisions/Movie Show Bias on Guns

More Television Police Show Bias: Criminals & Terrorists Using Machine Guns, misleading claims about semi-automatic guns turned into machine guns

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Defensive Gun Uses

Two Armed Civilians Stopped What Likely Would Have Been a Mass Public Shooting in Missouri

Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 24 Cases During November 2025

Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 33 Cases During October 2025

Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 31 Cases During September 2025

Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 29 Cases During August 2025

Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 35 Cases During July 2025

Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 41 Cases During June 2025

Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 39 Cases During May 2025

Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 26 Cases During April 2025

Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 26 Cases During March 2025

Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 25 Cases During February 2025

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Other Testimony

Dr. Lott’s testimony Before the Wyoming state Senate Judiciary Committee on eliminating Gun-free Zones

Testimony before the U.S. House Committee on the Judiciary on Gun Control

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Other

Supreme Court Strikes Down Hawaii’s regulations restricting concealed carry

Police use drone to pull knife from suspect’s hand in first-of-its-kind operation

Trump pushes nationwide right-to-carry legislation with surprise declaration on June 23 2026

 

Crime Prevention Research Center

358 S 700 E, Ste B, B409, Salt Lake City, UT 84102
http://crimeresearch.org
johnrlott@crimeresearch.org
(484) 802-5373

Crime Prevention Research Center · 358 S 700 E Ste B, B409, Salt Lake City, UT 84102, United States
This email was sent to johnrlott@crimeresearch.org. To stop receiving emails, click here.
You can also keep up with Dr. John R. Lott, Jr. PhD on Twitter.


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Crime Prevention Research Center · 358 S 700 E Ste B, B409, Salt Lake City, UT 84102, United States
This email was sent to johnmhames1.diogenes--light@blogger.com. To stop receiving emails, click here.
You can also keep up with Dr. John R. Lott, Jr. PhD on Twitter.


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