One thing I didn't mention in either of my "things helping Walker" threads had been held back because I wasn't quite seeing it yet, but I sure do now:
Inevitability. The reality that Walker will probably win is dawning on his own opponents and has been discussed at length on MSNBC, Huffington Post, Kos, FDL, DU, CNN, Politico, local news and other sites and sources too numerous to count. The sense that the Governor is going to beat the recall is very real now, and with prognosticators more professional than me calling it as such, solid efforts by the recall forces to pull a final-week script switch are evaporating.
This is far from the time to get cocky. Barrett and his supporters won't likely make any big moves, nor his supporters, in the coming week. Everything from here to electoral judgment day is centered on getting the voters to the polls for early voting, getting the absentee ballots filed, and contacting those who must show up on June 5th. Walker's supporters have done an incredible job, and will continue to do so, in doing the same. If you haven't visited his site and donated, do so in the waning days. If you worry about shenanigans and can volunteer time as a poll watcher, do it. Most of all, if you reside in Wisconsin, come hell, high water, or a cheese and beer shortage, you must vote.
Here's how the lefty folks at FireDogLake are acknowledging hard truths:
With less than two weeks until the recall election in Wisconsin, it appears Republican Governor Scott Walker currently stands a very good chance of surviving the effort. Two new polls out today confirm Walker leads Democrat Tom Barrett in their rematch. A poll for Wisconsin Public Radio has Walker leading by five and a poll for Reason has him up by eight.
St. Norbet College/Wisconsin Public Radio (5/17-22)
Scott Walker (R) 50%
Tom Barrett (D) 45%
Not sure 5%
Reason-Rupe poll by ORC International (5/14-18)
Scott Walker (R) 50%
Tom Barrett (D) 42%
Don't Know 6%
Refused 3%
Although the race remains relatively tight, all the recent polling constantly shows Walker with a small single digit lead. While polling special elections is difficult because so much depends on what could end up being very unusual turnout, at this point Walker is a strong favorite to maintain his office.
Great comments there, too: "disastrous." "I don't understand." "At this point, I see only one option, send in the BIG guns.....Brad, Angelina and Oprah." "After all the fan fare, this is depressing." "Better to not recall at all than have this happen (recall & lose). Total fail." "You have to wonder why the DNC decided that this fight wasn't worth fighting. Maybe they would rather have a whipped and demoralized populace, too."
And when I see comments like, "Not to worry. Obama will be there soon to save the day and show his solidarity with the working class. He just needs to locate his work boots" . . . I start to think . . . if Walker wins big enough, and Wisconsin Democrats are demoralized enough, this state could start slipping into the Romney column.
My mirror Moe Lane is enjoying every second of Democrat and lefty disbelief:
I don't want to spend too much time on this -- if for no other reason than it's lunchtime -- but here's a pre-post-mortem on the whole sorry recall election situation. What happened here was the accumulated karmic backlash of forty years' worth of Establishment Democrats telling the Activist Left that they were the vanguard of, and spokesmen for, a broad American populist movement. For the longest time, such lies were simply an accepted part of the public policy debate; mostly because the country had no yardstick by which to judge the Left's turnout and activities.
But then came the Tea Parties -- which showed people what a real American populist movement looks like, and what it can do -- and its success stung the Activist Left at the exact moment that Scott Walker came along and not unreasonably decided that if he was elected on a platform of doing certain things, he had best start doing them. This infuriated the Left, but not as much as the refusal of Walker and the WI GOP to go weak-kneed at the first sign of push-back. So... the recall movement was born!
And... fizzled. The Left should have cut their losses when Prosser demonstrated that drum circles and illegal indoor camping in the Rotunda didn't translate into votes... and they definitely should have cut their losses when the first wave of recalls didn't live up to the hype. But they didn't, and now the people of Wisconsin are increasingly demonstrating that they're tired of all of this - and they're not blaming the Republicans, either. Such a shame, but that's what you get whe- hey! The bacon's fully cooked.
Kind of metaphorical there, really.
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