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FBI's Manipulation of Active Shooting Data is Getting Worse, The Media's Absurd Claim that Most Extremist Murders are by Right-wingers, and much more

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Crime Prevention Research Center

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Dear Diogenes:

One of the most frustrating problems I face is the FBI's manipulation of crime data. Last year, the FBI concealed the revised increase in crime rates before the election. The agency not only underreports how often legally armed civilians stop active shootings, but the distortion has worsened. Over the last three years, the FBI claimed armed good Samaritans stopped only three attacks. In reality, we documented 78 cases—a 26-fold difference.

I detail this evidence in my new piece at Real Clear Investigations. In 2024, while the FBI claims there were no cases where civilians stopped active shootings, we found they 48% of the attacks and 63% of the attacks if you exclude gun-free zones. For those who want to verify the cases and see how they fit the FBI's own definition of active shootings, you can review the documented incidents and links to the original news stories here. We also put these 202 misidentified cases through ChatGPT as a check to see whether others would agree that they meet the FBI's definition, and ChatGPT agreed with all our classifications. I presented this data at the Gun Rights Policy Conference this past weekend.

Another op-ed in The Federalist counters the media's absurd claims that most extremist murders are by right-wingers. We also updated our data on the political and religious views of mass public shooters—though these account for only a fraction of all extremist murderers. Bill Cunningham invited me onto his national radio show to discuss the findings.

I also recently spoke at New York City's Monday Meeting, where I addressed the recent attacks in Minneapolis at a school, on Charlotte's train, and the assassination of Charlie Kirk. Radio shows in Mary Walter Radio ShowCincinnati's WLW, and Bill Martinez's national show discussed the dangers of gun-free zones.

Our past work on the inability of mental health experts to identify people who engage in mass public shootings was discussed on Stinchfield Tonight on Real America's Voice and Cleveland's Bob Frantz Show.

Over the last couple weeks, our research has gotten news coverage in The Blaze, Governing magazine, Townhall, and other places.

Regarding stories of defensive gun use, here is an instance of a woman shooting a man who had repeatedly abused and beaten her to protect herself and her children. As the police office in the video says, the woman "had no other choice but to defend herself and that is why people have guns." We have updated our list of defensive gun uses by people legally carrying concealed handguns for January 2025.

If you haven't already seen it, please watch our new video with John Stossel, which covers our new research showing errors in the FBI's active shooting reports.

Five of my books have now been translated into Portuguese.

For those who haven't already done so, if you would like to help us get the information out to others, please consider posting reviews of our website on the Google business page that we have set up. The more positive reviews people post, the more Google will feature our webpage in their searches. Thank you very much!

We need help getting our research out. It doesn't do us any good to do all this work if people don't see it. If you have friends you think might find our emails interesting, please encourage them to sign up by sending them the link here. Thank you very much.

We need your support to continue doing the work that we do. I don't think that there is any organization with as small of a budget that regularly produces as much as we do. Thank you very much.

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Research

Massive errors in FBI's Active Shooting Reports from 2014-2024 regarding cases where civilians stop attacks: Instead of 3.7%, the correct number is at least 36%. Excluding gun-free zones, it averaged over 52.5%. In 2024, it was 62.5%.

UPDATED: Cases where armed citizens have stopped active shooter incidents

UPDATE: The false narrative of white supremacists doing mass public shootings: Racial, Gender, Religious and Political views of these killers from 1998 through August 2025

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Op-eds

At Real Clear Investigations: Unaccountable: The FBI Strange Refusal to Fix Key Crime Statistic

At The Federalist: Bogus ADL Report Either Mislabels Leftist Violence As 'Right-Wing' Or Omits It Entirely: The ADL's latest annual report claims that right-wing extremists have been connected to all identified extremist-related killings 2022-2024

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Recent Talks

Talk at 2025 Gun Rights Policy Conference: The FBI Crime Data is a Politicized Mess

Talk at the Monday Meeting in New York City: Discussing the Recent Crimes at the School in Minneapolis, the Stabbing in Charlotte, and Charlie Kirk's Assassination

Talk in Buenos Aires – Mitos sobre el control de armas – Mas armas menos Crimen, English: Myths about gun control – More guns, less crime

Talk: Gun Control Myths

Political Biases in the FBI's Crime Data

Television/Podcast interviews

On Stinchfield Tonight on Real America's Voice: If Mental Health Professionals Can't Spot Would Be Killers, What Do We Do?

On NTD Newsroom: US May Be Seeing Record Lows in Murder Rates

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Radio interviews/Podcasts

On Sunday Nights with Bill Cunningham: To Discuss ADL's Biased Report on Extremist Violence

On Strictly Speaking with Bob Frantz: To Discuss Mental Health and Guns

On Mary Walter Radio: To Discuss Crime in America

On Morning with Gary Byron: Discussing Guns and Crimes

On John Solomon Reports: Discussing Trump's DC Crime Crackdown and its Impact

On Cincinnati's WLW: To Discuss Minneapolis Catholic School Shooting

On Point of View: To Discuss The Bias of AI Chatbots

On The Bill Martinez Show: To Discuss Gun-Free Zones and Concealed Carry Permits

On The Bill Martinez Show: To Discuss Voter Fraud

On Missoula's KGVO: Discussing a wide range of crime and gun control issues

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Media Coverage

CPRC in the News: The Blaze, Governing, Townhall, Herald-Standard, Bearing Arms, and More

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Amicus Brief

Amicus Brief for the Supreme Court, Petition for Writ of Certiorari in Antonyuk, et al v James, that deals with Gun Free Zones in New York

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Televisions/Movie Show Bias on Guns

Yet Another Unsuccessful Defensive Gun Use on Entertainment Television, USA Network's The Rainmaker

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Defensive Gun Uses

Defensive Gun Uses By People Legally Carrying Guns: 31 Cases During January 2025

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Other Testimony

Dr. Lott's testimony Before the Wyoming state Senate Judiciary Committee on eliminating Gun-free Zones

Testimony before the U.S. House Committee on the Judiciary on Gun Control

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Other

Who strongly opposes President Trump sending National Guard troops to cities to fight violent crime?: Whites, Democrats, liberals, those making over $200,000 per year, and those who went to graduate school.

Five of John Lott's Books Have Been Translated into Portuguese

"Anti-Ice" Shooter in Dallas used an 8mm bolt-action Mauser rifle, Family Strongly Opposed Second Amendment

Another Shooting in a Gun-free Zone: The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints in Grand Blanc Township, Michigan, at least three murdered, eight wounded

Crime Prevention Research Center

358 S 700 E, Ste B, B409, Salt Lake City, UT 84102
http://crimeresearch.org
johnrlott@crimeresearch.org
(484) 802-5373

Crime Prevention Research Center · 358 S 700 E Ste B, B409, Salt Lake City, UT 84102, United States
This email was sent to johnmhames1.diogenes--light@blogger.com. To stop receiving emails, click here.
You can also keep up with Dr. John R. Lott, Jr. PhD on Twitter.


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FBI's Manipulation of Active Shooting Data is Getting Worse, The Media's Absurd Claim that Most Extremist Murders are by Right-wingers, and much more FBI's Manipulation of Active Shooting Data is Getting Worse, The Media's Absurd Claim that Most Extremist Murders are by Right-wingers, and much more Reviewed by Diogenes on October 04, 2025 Rating: 5

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