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Top stories today: - Trump gets endorsement from Elon, Ackman, now at 71% odds of winning
- China's GDP +4.7% YoY in Q2, retail sales +2.0%
- Apple, Samsung phone shipments +1% YoY in Q2
- OpenAI working on new project Strawberry (fka Q*)
- Khosla, Sequoia most active post-seed investors in Q2
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0. Data and calendar |
 | All values as of 6 AM ET / 3 AM PT, other than S&P500 and NASDAQ close (4 PM ET / 1 PM PT). |
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 | All times are ET. |
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1. Trump gets endorsement from Elon, Ackman after assassination attempt, now at 71% odds of winning |
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Polymarket's Trump odds jumped from 60% to 71% (the same as Nate Silver's model forecast), as Biden is at 18%, Harris 5% |
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Nate Silver's forecast remains at Trump 71%, with no post-attempt polls. Trump rewrites Republican convention speech to focus on unity. Secret Service faces intense scrutiny, criticism. Biden gives rare oval office address, promoting unity. Shooter being investigated by FBI. RNC speakers asked to leave speeches unchanged.
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2. China's GDP +4.7% YoY in Q2, industrial output +5.3%, retail sales +2.0% |
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GDP: 4.7% YoY in Q2, vs. 5.1% expected, from 5.3% in the prior quarter. Industrial production: 5.3%, vs. 4.9%, from 5.6%. Retail sales: 2.0%, vs. 3.3%, from 3.7%.
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4. Apple, Samsung phone shipments +1% YoY in Q2, vs. double-digit growth for Chinese makers Xiaomi, vivo |
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Meanwhile, Apple's sales in India were +33% in the 12 months through March |
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5. OpenAI working on new project Strawberry (fka Q*), capable of answering tricky science, math questions |
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Strawberry can do "deep research," planning ahead enough to navigate the internet autonomously. Release date TBD. Appears to be still very far from AGI, as researching capabilities don't necessarily entail the creative theorizing that characterizes human intelligence.
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6. Khosla, Sequoia most active post-seed investors in Q2 |
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7. Interesting videos, posts, and memes |
 | Próspera: Optimising Governance to Accelerate Innovation - Trey Goff at Longevity Summit Dublin 2024 |
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 | 'We want to build a standard here that can be accepted anywhere' |
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 | #55: The Modern Press Playbook with Jess |
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8. Other headlines |
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World |
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Reviewed by Diogenes
on
July 15, 2024
Rating:
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