Morning Jolt: With Polls Tight, Democrats Worry about a ‘Crack in the Blue Wall’

WITH JIM GERAGHTY

October 22 2024

With Polls Tight, Democrats Worry about a 'Crack in the Blue Wall'

On the menu today: Kamala Harris's presidential-campaign staffers whisper to NBC News that they're not certain they can beat Trump in Wisconsin or Michigan, and they're lowering their expectations in North Carolina. Meanwhile, a new poll in Georgia shows Trump ahead by the kind of margin that feels like a landslide these days — a whole four percentage points — and I wonder whether it's such a good idea to have the electorate voting on state-supreme-court justices.

Tensions Run High with Two Weeks to Go

We're two weeks from Election Day, and it feels like the range of possible outcomes has become limited to a narrow win by Kamala Harris or a narrow win by Donald Trump. The coast-to-coast Republican comeuppance for the sins of the Trump era that Democrats so desperately want is not going to arrive.

Could all seven swing states break in favor of the same candidate? Sure, but it's not particularly likely. I can hear someone saying right now, "Last cycle Biden won Georgia, Arizona, and Wisconsin by less than 1 percent; Pennsylvania by less than 2 percent; and Nevada by less than 2.4 percent!" Yes, but last cycle Trump won North Carolina by 1.3 ...

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