Morning Jolt: Democrats Have Good Reason to Worry about Wisconsin

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WITH JIM GERAGHTY

October 15 2024

Democrats Have Good Reason to Worry about Wisconsin

On the menu today: Not only is once true-blue Wisconsin a swing state, but it also arguably ranks among the top three most competitive and important swing states. We probably won't see a rerun of the spectacular miss in the polling here four years ago, but there's reason to think that Kamala Harris isn't doing quite as well as the current neck-and-neck numbers suggest. Meanwhile, a new survey shows Donald Trump way ahead among Wisconsin Catholics, and contemplating how the world treats Taiwan compared to how it treats the Taliban.

Among Wisconsin Catholics, Trump Leads by 18 Percentage Points

Kohler, Wis. — If you're of a certain age, the notion of Wisconsin — the land of bratwurst, cheeseheads, breweries, and cows — being a swing state and maybe one of the three most important and competitive states is jarring. This state voted for Michael Dukakis. George H. W. Bush couldn't hit 37 percent here in 1992. Barack Obama beat John McCain here by more than 414,000 votes, and he beat Mitt Romney by more than 213,000 votes.

And yet, measuring by percentages, Wisconsin was the third-closest state that Joe Biden won in 2020 — closer than ...

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