Morning Jolt: Hopes of a Democratic Senate Majority Next Year Are Hanging by a Thread

TODAY'S JOLT IS SPONSORED BY

WITH JIM GERAGHTY

September 24 2024

Hopes of a Democratic Senate Majority Next Year Are Hanging by a Thread

On the menu today: You can find a lot of left-of-center talking heads and writers promoting long-shot Democratic Senate challengers in Texas, Florida, and Nebraska. But the better measure of Democrats' ambitions and expectations is where they're spending their money. Meanwhile, what's new with Lady Gaga's concert-tour bus driver — trust me, this ties into the Pennsylvania Senate race — and further evidence that Tim Walz is doing Kamala Harris no real favors in his home state.

The Approaching GOP Senate

Thirty-eight Republican senators are not up for reelection this year. Eleven more Republicans either look like safe bets for Senate reelection or are running for open seats in deep-red states such as Utah and Indiana.

I put Ted Cruz's bid for reelection in Texas in that "safe bet" category. Yes, a recent Morning Consult poll in Texas had Democratic senate nominee Colin Allred ahead of Cruz by one percentage point — "well within the survey's margin of error," as the pollster noted. But another poll out Monday put Cruz ahead by three percentage points ...

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