| FAREWELL TO ARMS CONTROL: Near the end of his rambling, aggrieved state-of-the-nation address yesterday, Russian President Vladimir Putin suspended — but did not withdraw from — the New START treaty, the last remaining pact limiting the deployment of nuclear weapons. While accusing the United States of violating the 2011 treaty by limiting verification inspections, the Russian Foreign Ministry, in a statement, said it would continue to abide by key provisions of the pact, which expires in three years and limits the U.S. and Russia to 1,550 deployed nuclear warheads. "In order to maintain the necessary level of predictability and stability in the nuclear missile area, Russia will take a prudent approach and will continue to strictly comply with the quantitative restrictions stipulated in the treaty for strategic offensive armaments within the life cycle of the treaty," the statement said. "Russia will also continue to exchange notifications of ICBM and SLBM launches with the United States in accordance with the relevant Soviet-US agreement signed in 1988." CNN, citing "two U.S. officials familiar with the matter," reported that Russia carried out an unsuccessful test of an intercontinental ballistic missile while President Joe Biden was in Ukraine and notified the U.S. ahead of time over the same deconfliction channel that the White House used to warn Moscow of Biden's impending visit. NEW START TREATY: PUTIN SUSPENDS PARTICIPATION IN LAST REMAINING NUCLEAR DEAL WITH US ROGERS: 'ALL OPTIONS MUST BE ON THE TABLE': Putin's bombshell drew immediate fire from key lawmakers on Capitol Hill. "The Biden administration should declare Russia to be in 'material breach' of the New START Treaty and direct the Joint Staff and U.S. Strategic Command to accelerate planning in the event Russia breaches New START caps," said House Armed Services Committee Chairman Mike Rogers (R-AL). "All options must be on the table, including deploying additional nuclear forces and increasing the readiness of our nuclear triad." Rogers called for an acceleration of the U.S. plans to modernize its nuclear systems and for Biden to abandon his plans to cancel the proposed "Nuclear Sea Launched Cruise Missile," which he said would "weaken" America's nuclear deterrent. "Russia has been in violation of New START for years, so this latest development should come as no surprise," said Sen. Deb Fischer (R-NE), the top Republican on the Senate Armed Services Strategic Forces Subcommittee. "But make no mistake — this announcement is yet another dangerous example of Vladimir Putin trying to use nuclear saber-rattling to coerce other nations." The chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee called Putin's speech a "myth-filled diatribe" and said it demonstrated that Putin is "an autocrat and aggressor who has no interest in maintaining international peace and security." "I vehemently condemn his announced 'suspension' of Russia's participation in New START — the only arms control agreement between Russia and the United States that remains in force — possibly heralding the end of strategic arms control, said Sen. Bob Menendez (D-NJ). "Putin and his cronies should have no doubt that the United States will defend our country and our allies, continuing to support Ukraine for as long as it takes to prevail." WHAT IS THE NEW START TREATY BETWEEN US AND RUSSIA THAT PUTIN JUST SUSPENDED? ISW: PUTIN'S 'BOILERPLATE' SPEECH: In its analysis of Putin's speech, The Institute for the Study of War suggested the Russian leader may have inserted the language about suspending the New START treaty into a "relatively boilerplate" address "to re-introduce nuclear rhetoric into the information space, thereby distracting from the overall lack of substance in the rest of his speech." "Putin could have used this event to articulate new objectives and means for achieving them, such as announcing another formal wave of partial mobilization, redefining the 'special military operation' as an official war, or taking additional steps to mobilize the Russian defense industrial base in a more concrete way," the ISW said. "Instead, Putin said very little of actual substance, likely in order to set continued information conditions for a protracted war in Ukraine by not articulating specific temporal goals and framing the war as existential to the Russian domestic population." "Putin continued the bellicose tone he has adopted in speeches over the last six months but did not reveal any practical measures which might relieve Russia's current deadlock on the battlefield," said the British Defense Ministry in a tweet. "Putin continues to present a contradictory narrative of existential struggle, while insisting everything in Russia is fine and going to plan. This renders both messages ineffective." PUTIN FACES THREAT OF 'MUTINY,' LEADER OF 2014 INVASION SAYS Good Wednesday morning and welcome to Jamie McIntyre's Daily on Defense, written and compiled by Washington Examiner National Security Senior Writer Jamie McIntyre (@jamiejmcintyre) and edited by Conrad Hoyt. Email here with tips, suggestions, calendar items, and anything else. Sign up or read current and back issues at DailyonDefense.com. If signing up doesn't work, shoot us an email and we'll add you to our list. And be sure to follow us on Twitter: @dailyondefense. Subscribe today to the Washington Examiner magazine and get Washington Briefing: politics and policy stories that will keep you up to date with what's going on in Washington. SUBSCRIBE NOW: Just $1.00 an issue! CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP OR READ BACK ISSUES OF DAILY ON DEFENSE HAPPENING TODAY: Later this morning (8:45 a.m. EST), President Joe Biden will meet at the Presidential Palace in Warsaw with leaders of the Bucharest Nine eastern flank NATO allies, along with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg. The president will "reaffirm the United States' unwavering support for the security of the alliance," according to the White House. In his speech yesterday, which came hours after Putin's, Biden called NATO's Article 5 "a sacred oath to defend every inch of NATO territory." "Every member of NATO knows it. And Russia knows it as well. An attack against one is an attack against all," Biden said in remarks at Castle Gardens in Warsaw. "Let there be no doubt, the commitment of the United States to our NATO alliance and Article 5 is rock solid." Biden is scheduled to depart Poland for Washington immediately following the Bucharest Nine meeting. OPINION: BIDEN'S VERY SUCCESSFUL TRIP TO EUROPE XI REPORTEDLY TO MEET WITH PUTIN: China's top diplomat Wang Yi is in Moscow today and is expected to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin in what could be a prelude to a high-level summit between Chinese leader Xi Jinping in the coming months. The Wall Street Journal is reporting that while arrangements for the visit are "at an early stage and the timing hasn't been completed," Xi could visit Moscow in April or in early May. "Beijing says it wants to play a more active role aimed at ending the conflict, and the people familiar with Mr. Xi's trip plans said a meeting with Mr. Putin would be part of a push for multiparty peace talks and allow China to reiterate its calls that nuclear weapons not be used," the newspaper reported. Word of the potential summit comes as Secretary of State Antony Blinken has warned that the U.S. has information that Beijing is considering providing weapons and ammunition to Russia to replace stocks that have been depleted by a year of fighting in Ukraine. Blinken says he warned Wang in a meeting in Munich that any such action would have "serious consequences" for the U.S.-China relationship. CHINA'S TOP DIPLOMAT VISITS RUSSIA AHEAD OF ANNIVERSARY OF UKRAINIAN INVASION BIPARTISAN CONCERN ABOUT CHINESE TECH: If there's one thing Republicans and Democrats in Congress seem to be able to agree on, it's the threat Chinese technology poses to the U.S. and the efforts of Beijing to beg, borrow, or steal U.S. technology. To that end, Sens. Mark Warner (D-VA) and Marco Rubio (R-FL), chair and vice chair of the Senate Intelligence Committee, are urging the Treasury and Commerce Departments to "expand the use of existing tools and authorities" to prevent China's military-industrial complex from "benefiting from U.S. technology, talent and investments." "It is widely known that the PRC's Military-Civil Fusion program targets technological advancements in the U.S., as well as university and research partnerships with the U.S., for the PRC's military development. U.S. technology, talent, and capital continue to contribute—through both lawful and unlawful means, including theft," the senators wrote in a letter. "The Department of the Treasury has a number of authorities at its disposal to protect U.S. interests and counter this increasing threat." AND THEN THERE ARE CHINESE DRONES: Warner has also teamed up with Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL) to co-sponsor American Security Drone Act of 2023, which would ban the use of federal funds to purchase drones from countries such as China, identified as national security threats. "I've been clear for years: the United States should never spend taxpayer dollars on anything made in Communist China, especially drones which pose a significant threat to our national security," said Scott in a statement. "Xi and the Communist Party of China are on a quest for global domination and whether it's with spy balloons, TikTok or drones, they will stop at nothing to infiltrate our society and steal our data." The bill has bipartisan support from Sens. Marco Rubio (R-FL), Richard Blumenthal (D-CT), Marsha Blackburn (R-TN), Chris Murphy (D-CT), Tom Cotton (R-AR), and Josh Hawley (R-MO). OPINION: AS POLAND SALUTES AMERICA, HUNGARY AGAIN BOWS TO CHINA INDUSTRY WATCH: The Marine Corps has awarded Northrop Grumman an initial production and operations contract for the Next Generation Handheld Targeting System or "NGHTS," which is described as "a compact targeting system that provides advanced precision targeting and is capable of operation in GPS-denied environments." "NGHTS is lightweight and combines four systems into one portable device with state-of-the-art imaging, targeting, ranging, designating and networking," the company said in a news release. "This compact, multi-sensor electro-optical/infrared device lightens Marines' loads and keeps them connected while adding precision and safety to their missions." CLICK HERE TO READ MORE FROM THE WASHINGTON EXAMINER The Rundown Washington Examiner: New START treaty: Putin suspends participation in last remaining nuclear deal with US Washington Examiner: What is the New START Treaty between US and Russia that Putin just suspended? Washington Examiner: China's top diplomat visits Russia ahead of anniversary of Ukrainian invasion Washington Examiner: Putin faces threat of 'mutiny,' leader of 2014 invasion says Washington Examiner: Estonia: Russia's war in Ukraine presents 'existential' threat to NATO's eastern members Washington Examiner: Opinion: As Poland salutes America, Hungary again bows to China Washington Examiner: Opinion: Biden's very successful trip to Europe Washington Examiner: Crimea will decide the war in Ukraine Washington Examiner: Pentagon investigating leak of emails from Defense Department server Washington Examiner: Democrats 'deeply disappointed' by Biden administration's proposal to restrict asylum Washington Examiner: Pentagon warns service members against eating poppy seeds New York Times: Biden Accuses Putin of Atrocities and Urges World to Rebuke Him Politico: F-16s, Longer-Range Missiles Could Help Ukraine Beat Russia, US General Privately Tells Lawmakers Washington Post: A year in the trenches has hardened Ukraine's president AP: Germany's military 'turning point' still a work in progress AP: No economic 'knockout' yet from West's sanctions on Russia New York Times: China's Support For The Kremlin Hinders Its Courtship Of Europe Stars and Stripes: Spy Balloon, Growing Fleet Show The Increased Threat Of China And Its Intent For Worldwide Influence, US Navy Secretary Says CNN: U.S. Navy Can't Keep Up With China's PLA In Shipbuilding, Service Chief Says USNI News: Chinese Naval Aviation To Allow Female, Non-Military College Pilots For The First Time C4ISRNET: Admiral Gilday Sees Uncrewed Vessels As Critical To U.S. Navy's Future Air & Space Forces Magazine: Slife: Before a New Force-Sizing Construct, Air Force Needs to Work On CCAs, Common Terms Air & Space Forces Magazine: After N. 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Military Times: As Egg Prices Soar, How Does DOD Avoid Scrambling to Keep Troops Fed? New York Times: Beauty in the Aftermath Calendar WEDNESDAY | FEBRUARY 22 8:30 a.m. 2399 Richmond Hwy., Arlington, Va. — National Defense Industrial Association annual Expeditionary Warfare Conference, with Navy Secretary Carlos Del Toro; Vice Adm. Scott Conn, deputy chief of naval operations for warfighting requirements and capabilities; Lt. Gen. Karsten Heckl, Marine Corps deputy commandant for combat development and integration; Adm. Michael Ryan, deputy Coast Guard commandant for operations policy and capabilities; and former Rep. Elaine Luria (D-VA) https://www.ndia.org/events/2023/2/22/3700-ewc-2023 9 a.m. 7500 GEOINT Dr., Springfield, Va. — U.S. Geospatial Intelligence Foundation "GEOINT Service Day: Army," with Lt. Gen. Laura Potter, Army deputy chief of staff for intelligence; Maj. Gen. Michele Bredenkamp, commanding general of the Army Intelligence and Security Command; and Lt. Gen. Dennis McKean, deputy commanding general of the Army Futures Command https://usgif.org/geoint-service-day-army-day 9 a.m. — Atlantic Council virtual discussion: "Kremlin Information Operations Before and After Ukraine Invasion," with Liubov Tsybulska, founder of the Centre for Strategic Communication and Information Security; Ksenia Iliuk, co-founder of LetsData; Terrell Jermaine Starr, senior reporter at the Root; Nika Aleksejeva, resident fellow at the Atlantic Council's Digital Forensic Research (DFR) Lab; and Roman Osadchuk, research associate at the Atlantic Council's DFRLab https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/kremlin-information-operations 9 a.m. — Atlantic Council virtual discussion: "The implications of Russia's war in Ukraine for Europe and the Western Balkans," with Croatian Prime Minister Andrej Plenkovic https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/event/a-conversation-with-andrej-plenkovic/ 9:15 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: "South Korea's Indo-Pacific Strategy," with Andrew Yeo, senior fellow at the Brookings Institution's Center for East Asia Policy Studies https://www.csis.org/events/capital-cable-65-south-koreas-indo-pacific-strategy 9:30 a.m. — Henry Stimson Center virtual discussion: "Assessing US Military Assistance to Ukraine," with Missy Ryan, national security correspondent, the Washington Post; Elias Yousif, research analyst, Stimson Center; and Rachel Stohl, vice president and director, Conventional Defense program, Stimson Center https://www.stimson.org/event/assessing-us-military-assistance-to-ukraine 10 a.m. — Center for the Study of the Presidency and Congress virtual event: "The Militaries of Russia and Ukraine One Year Into the War," with retired Army Lt. Gen. David Barno and Nora Bensahel, authors of Adaptation Under Fire; Michael Kofman, research program director, Center for Naval Analyses Russia Studies Program; and Joshua Huminski, director, Mike Rogers Center for Intelligence & Global Affairs https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register 11 a.m. — Center for a New American Security virtual discussion: "Marking One Year Since Russia's Invasion of Ukraine," with former Deputy Secretary of State Steve Biegun; Andrea Kendall-Taylor, senior fellow and director of the CNAS Transatlantic Security Program and former deputy national intelligence officer for Russia and Eurasia at the National Intelligence Council; Kadri Liik, senior policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations; Claudia Major, head of the German Institute for International and Security Affairs International Security Research Division; Jeffrey Edmonds, adjunct senior fellow at the CNAS Transatlantic Security Program and senior research scientist at the Center for Naval Analyses Russia Studies Program; Shashank Joshi, defense editor at the Economist; and Michael Kofman, adjunct senior fellow at the CNAS Transatlantic Security Program and research program director at the Center for Naval Analyses Russia Studies Program https://www.cnas.org/events/virtual-event-marking-one-year 12 p.m. 1300 Pennsylvania Ave. NW — Wilson Center discussion: "Causes and Consequences of Russia's Year of War in Ukraine," with former U.S. Ambassador to Russia John Sullivan, partner at Mayer Brown; Olena Lennon, adjunct professor of political science and national security at the University of New Haven; and William Pomeranz, director of the Wilson Center's Kennan Institute https://www.wilsoncenter.org/event/causes-and-consequences 1 p.m. — Center for Security Policy webinar: "Europe's Worst War Since World War II," with Frank Gaffney, executive chairman, CSP; Andrei Illarionov, senior analyst, CSP; Chad Robichaux, founder and president, the Mighty Oaks Foundation; and Mitzi Perdue, past president, American Agri-Women. https://us02web.zoom.us/webinar/register/ 1:30 p.m. — Carnegie Endowment for International Peace discussion: "The Economic Costs of Russia's War Against Ukraine: Views from Kyiv's Expert Community," with former Ukrainian Economic Development, Trade and Agriculture Minister Tymofiy Mylovanov, president of the Kyiv School of Economics; Nataliia Shapoval, KSE vice president for policy research; and Andrew Weiss, CEIP chair and vice president for studies https://carnegieendowment.org/2023/02/22/economic-costs-of-russia-s-war 2 p.m. — National Defense University Foundation virtual discussion: "Space Operations Command's approach to deterring conflict and preserving our military's freedom of action in space," with Space Force Lt. Gen. Stephen Whiting, commander of the Space Operations Command https://ndufoundation.org/news/event/2022-12/space-operations 3 p.m. — CSIS International Security Program book launch: Information in War - Military Innovation, Battle Networks, and the Future of Artificial Intelligence, with Benjamin Jensen, senior fellow of future war, gaming, and strategy, CSIS International Security Program; Marine Corps Lt. Col. Scott Cuomo; and Kathleen McInnis, senior fellow in the International Security Program, director of the Smart Women, Smart Power Initiative at CSIS https://www.csis.org/events/book-launch-information-war THURSDAY | FEBRUARY 23 8 a.m. 2425 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, Va. — Association of the U.S. Army daylong in-person aviation "Hot Topic" event: "40th Anniversary of the Aviation Branch: Honoring the Past & Transforming for the Future," with Douglas Bush, assistant Army secretary for acquisition, logistics and technology; Maj. Gen. Michael McCurry, commanding general of the U.S. Army Aviation Center of Excellence and Fort Rucker, Ala.; Maj. Gen. William Taylor, director of Army aviation in the office of the deputy Army chief of staff for operations; and Maj. Gen. Thomas O'Connor, commanding general of the U.S. Army Aviation and Missile Command https://www.ausa.org/events/hot-topics/army-aviation 8 a.m. 2399 Richmond Hwy., Arlington, Va. — National Defense Industrial Association annual Expeditionary Warfare Conference, with Vice Adm. William Galinis, commander of Naval Sea Systems Command, delivering keynote remarks on "Building and Delivering the Future Navy Force" https://www.ndia.org/events/2023/2/22/3700-ewc-2023 8 a.m. 2941 Fairview Park Dr., Falls Church, Va.— Potomac Officers Club forum: "Securing Tomorrow's Future: The Urgency of Persistent Modernization," with Lt. Gen. Thomas Todd, deputy commanding general for acquisition and systems management at Army Futures Command https://potomacofficersclub.com/events/poc-securing-tomorrows-future 8:30 a.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies conference on "Economic Security: Perspectives from Seoul and Washington," with Republic of Korea Foreign Minister Park Jin https://www.csis.org/events/economic-security-us-and-korean-perspectives 9:15 a.m. — Washington Post Live virtual discussion: "Top State Department official on U.S. Support for Ukraine," with Under secretary of State for Political Affairs Victoria Nuland https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live 11 a.m. — Atlantic virtual discussion: "Russia's War on Ukraine: One Year Later," with Secretary of State Antony Blinken https://www.theatlantic.com/live/blinken-russia-ukraine-invasion 12 p.m. — Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft virtual discussion: "The Promise and Peril of Germany's Post-Ukraine Foreign Policy Shift," with former German Ambassador to Belgium Rudiger Ludeking; Sevim Dagdelen, deputy leader of the German Left Party; Rachel Rizzo, nonresident senior fellow at the Atlantic Council's Europe Center; and Anatol Lieven, senior research fellow and Eurasia director at the Quincy Institute https://quincyinst.org/event/the-promise-and-peril 12 p.m. — New America virtual discussion: "Uncovering the Wagner Group," with Anna Kruglova, lecturer in terrorism studies at the University of Salford; and Kateryna Stepanenko, analyst at the Institute for the Study of War https://www.newamerica.org/future-frontlines/events 1 p.m. — Jewish Democratic Council of America virtual briefing: "The Future of Israel's Democracy," with former U.S. Ambassador to Israel Daniel Shapiro; and former U.S. Ambassador to Israel Daniel Kurtzer https://www.mobilize.us/jewishdems/event/551394/ 1:30 p.m. — The Cipher Brief virtual briefing: "DIA's Global Intelligence Picture," with Trent Maul, director for analysis, Defense Intelligence Agency https://www.thecipherbrief.com 3:30 p.m. 500 First St. NW — Georgetown University Law Center discussion: "The January 6th Investigation and the Ongoing Threat of Violent Extremism: A Conversation with Former Select Committee Investigators," with Marcus Childress, special counsel at Jenner & Block LLP; Meghan Conroy, research fellow at the Atlantic Council's Digital Forensic Research Lab; Jacob Glick, policy counsel at Georgetown University's Institute for Constitutional Advocacy and Protection; Sandeep Prasanna, senior associate at Miller & Chevalier Chartered; and Sean Quinn, associate at Wilson Sonsini Goodrich & Rosati LLP https://docs.google.com/forms 4 p.m. — Center for Strategic and International Studies virtual discussion: "From Freeze to Thaw: The State of Australia-China Relations," with Justin Bassi, executive director of the Australian Strategic Policy Institute; Amrit Bagia, former director for countering foreign malign influence and information integrity at the National Security Council; and Richard McGregor, CSIS chair in China studies https://www.csis.org/events/freeze-thaw-state-australia-china-relations 6 p.m. — Common Good discussion: "Russia's invasion into Ukraine, the possibility of Chinese aggression toward Taiwan, unrest in Iran, autocracy and populism on the rise, or the need for global climate action," with Richard Haass, president of the Council on Foreign Relations and author of Bill of Obligations: The Ten Habits of Good Citizens https://www.thecommongoodus.org/upcoming-events 7 p.m. — Henry Stimson Center virtual discussion: "Russia's Road to War with Ukraine," with Samir Puri, visiting lecturer at King's College London; and James Siebens, fellow in reimagining U.S. grand strategy at Stimson https://www.stimson.org/event/russias-road-to-war-with-ukraine FRIDAY | FEBRUARY 24 8 a.m. 2401 M St., NW — George Washington University Project for Media and National Security Defense Writers Group conversation with Jessica Lewis, assistant secretary of state, Bureau of Political-Military Affairs. Email Thom Shanker at tshanker@email.gwu.edu 11 a.m. — Washington Post Live virtual discussion: "U.S.-China Relationship and war in Ukraine," with former White House National Security Adviser John Bolton https://www.washingtonpost.com/washington-post-live 11 a.m. 1775 Massachusetts Ave. NW — Brookings Institution discussion: "Meeting the Russia challenge: Lessons from the foreign policy transition from Bush to Obama," with former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, senior fellow in public policy at the Hoover Institution; and former Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs Stephen Hadley, founding principal of Rice, Hadley, Gates & Manuel LLC https://www.brookings.edu/events/meeting-the-russia-challenge 2:15 p.m. 1789 Massachusetts Ave. NW — American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research in-person discussion: "Russia's War on Ukraine: What Lies Ahead in 2023?" with Leon Aron, senior fellow, AEI; George Barros, Russia analyst, Institute for the Study of War; Nataliya Bugayova, nonresident Russia fellow, ISW; Mason Clark, senior analyst, ISW; Kateryna Stepanenko, Russia analyst, ISW; Karolina Hird, Russia analyst, ISW; Frederick Kagan, director of the Critical Threats Project, AEI; Kimberly Kagan, president, ISW; former Sen. Rob Portman (R-OH); and Dalibor Rohac, senior fellow, AEI https://www.aei.org/events/russias-war-on-ukraine-what-lies-ahead | | | "Appetites of the autocrat cannot be appeased, they must be opposed. Autocrats only understand one word, 'no, no, no. No, you will not take my country. No, you will not take my freedom. No, you will not take my future.'"
| President Joe Biden, speaking in Warsaw, Poland, Tuesday.
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