Morning Jolt: The Bad News and the Good News on Ukraine

On the menu today: Yes, President Biden delivered the State of the Union Address last night, but no one is going to remember much of what he said in another day or so. Russian forces are now hammering Ukrainian cities — and new Western intelligence assessments conclude that those cities will fall, probably in another month to six weeks. But those same assessments also conclude that Russia will never truly control Ukraine — and that the military forces under Vladimir Putin are soon going to face a truly hellacious insurgency, one that will last for years.

Near Term: Ukraine Loses. Long Term: Russia Loses.

From a geopolitical perspective, Putin's Russia is inflicting upon itself a wound that will never heal and is ensuring that Russia will pay a price in blood and treasure for many years, likely long after Putin is worm chow.

From a human perspective, Putin has inflicted a terrible cost upon Ukraine, his own country, and the rest of the world — and no one knows just how high that cost will grow.

First, the bad news.

From the Ukrainian claims of close to 6,000 Russian casualties ...

WITH JIM GERAGHTY March 02 2022 WITH JIM GERAGHTY March 02 2022 The Bad News and the Good News on Ukraine On the menu today: Yes, President Biden delivered the State of the Union Address last night, but no one is going to remember much of what he said in another day or so. Russian forces are now hammering Ukrainian cities — and new Western intelligence assessments conclude that those cities will fall, probably in another month to six weeks. But those same assessments also conclude that Russia will never truly control Ukraine — and that the military forces under Vladimir Putin are soon going to face a truly hellacious insurgency, one that will last for years. Near Term: Ukraine Loses. Long Term: Russia Loses. From a geopolitical perspective, Putin's Russia is inflicting upon itself a wound that will never heal and is ensuring that Russia will pay a price in blood and treasure for many years, likely long after Putin is worm chow. From a human perspective, Putin has inflicted a terrible cost upon Ukraine, his own country, and the rest of the world — and no one knows just how high that cost will grow. First, the bad news. From the Ukrainian claims of close to 6,000 Russian casualties ...   READ MORE

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