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A Sarah Palin for Senate Bid? Oh, Please! Oh, Please!



Nationalreview.com

Morning Jolt
. . . with Jim Geraghty

July 10, 2013

A Sarah Palin for Senate Bid? Oh, Please! Oh, Please!

This could be big. On the other hand, we're all familiar with the phenomenon of eagerly anticipating a big-time, endlessly scrutinized, high-stakes campaign from Sarah Palin, only to find out she's decided against it.

Sarah Palin may not be done with politics after all.

The former Alaska governor, who was also 2008's GOP vice presidential nominee, said Tuesday she's contemplating a bid for U.S. Senate against Democrat Mark Begich. He's up for re-election in 2014.

"I've considered it because people have requested me [to] consider it," Palin told conservative radio host Sean Hannity on his show. "I'm still waiting to see what the lineup will be. And hoping there will be some new blood, new energy. Not just kind of picking from the same old politicians in the state that come from political families."

Remember, Obama's political-activism group, Organizing for Action, has loudly pledged they won't help Begich at all in 2014 because he voted against the background-check bill. (You're forgiven for wondering aloud just how many volunteers Organizing for Action has in Alaska, but presumably OFA would be able to steer a lot of donations Begich's way if they so chose.)

I'm all for a Palin for Senate bid; nothing like "Senator Palin of Alaska" and "Senator Liz Cheney of Wyoming" to convince the Left that their world is falling apart. Obviously, she would have enormous fundraising prowess, unparalleled name ID, and her opponent won by about one percentage point over incumbent Republican Ted Stevens, about one month after Stevens was convicted of seven felony counts of failing to report gifts. Sure, a February PPP survey had her trailing Begich considerably, but that's a theoretical. If nothing else, she would make the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee have to spend oodles in Alaska to protect an incumbent.

But it's tough to get too excited about a Palin bid, considering the number of times she's made comments that suggested a particular course of action, only to reverse course:

  • Back in September 2010, she sounded like she might run for president: "If nobody else wanted to step up, Greta, I would offer myself up in the name of service to the public."
  • Then she announced she wouldn't run . . . but then she later said, "You know, it's not too late for folks to jump in and I don't know. Who knows what will happen in the future?"
  • After leaving Fox News in January, she declared, "I encourage others to step out in faith, jump out of the comfort zone, and broaden our reach as believers in American exceptionalism. That means broadening our audience. I'm taking my own advice here as I free up opportunities to share more broadly the message of the beauty of freedom and the imperative of defending our republic and restoring this most exceptional nation. We can't just preach to the choir; the message of liberty and true hope must be understood by a larger audience." And then . . . in June, she signed up with Fox News Channel again.

So if this Senate bid never comes to fruition . . . will anyone be surprised?

How Generation X Shows Hope for Generation Y, and 'Reality Bites'

Flipping through the channels the other night, I came across Reality Bites, a modestly successful little 1994 romantic comedy that somehow came to be considered one of the iconic films of the 1990s, or at least one of the films that came to define the reputation of "Generation X" -- those born between the early 1960s and early 1980s.

 A little while back, the great Mary Katharine Ham brilliantly dissected how the film looks from the perspective of today: the characters' self-absorption and whining, the constant smoking, the grunge soundtrack, and the dated notion that Ethan Hawke's grungy bar-band slacker is the hero, and that Ben Stiller's kind-hearted but ambitious yuppie executive at an MTV-style network is the wrong guy for Winona Ryder. (Like MKH, I'm just going to use the actors' names.)

Some modern analyses of the film like this one (funny but NSFW language) note the irony that the film is about the frustrations of unemployed or under-employed 20-somethings, and their fears that their dreams will never be realized . . . in the early-to-mid 1990s. That early-90s economy looks like Nirvana compared to today (no pun intended, but I'm pretty proud of it now that I realize it) and we know that in a year or two, Silicon Valley and the dot-com boom are about to turbocharge the job market that the characters find so horrific.

Looking back, we in Generation X had it pretty good. Not only was the U.S. economy roaring at the time, but opportunities for young workers were pretty widespread in the dot-com era. As costly as higher education was then, it looks positively inexpensive compared to today. It was a time of relative peace, when U.S. military actions in Somalia, Haiti, and the Balkans could be largely ignored by most of the public, and few foresaw the horrors of 9/11 lurking around the corner.

rooftop

"Back in my day, son, before the Internet, we hung out on strangely unsecured building roofs, drinking beers and playing guitar, brooding."

Despite the clunky landline phones, flannel, 1-900 psychic hotlines, and Lisa Loeb on the soundtrack, "Reality Bites" is less about a moment in our cultural life than a moment in the modern career trajectory. A large chunk of Generation X came out of high school or college with big dreams of success -- high expectations fueled, in part, by the boom of the 1980s and the surprise end of the Cold War. We left the shelter of academia and entered the real world . . . and, for many of us, at least initially, the real world just kicked our asses. Only professional athletes leave college to step into their dream job. Almost everyone else starts at the bottom, interning or one step above interning, and gasps when they realize the distance between themselves and that dream job. Try and fail enough times, and you begin to fear the dream job might be just a dream. And how much does a hidden fear of failure fuel those pronouncements of disdain for "selling out"?

Of course, as fun as it is to mock Ethan Hawke and Winona Ryder's insufferable dismissal of any type of compromise on the road to success as "selling out," there is a genuine, legitimate anxiety that those characters and the film express.

A lot of us feel some sort of creative impulse, and desire to create something -- a book, a painting, a song, a sculpture, a film -- that stands out and is recognized for its excellence, its insight, its ability to stir emotions in others. And we fear going through the effort and struggle of the creative process only to lose our creation, or to have it co-opted by others who just want to use it to sell things. You fear that just as you're about to make a key point, and establish some sort of connection with the audience --

DON'T FORGET TO BOOK YOUR CABIN NOW FOR THE NATIONAL REVIEW NORWEGIAN FJORDS CRUISE! DON'T DELAY! ACT NOW! CABINS ARE RUNNING OUT!

Anyway, as I was saying, both this film and another one of my mid-90s favorites, Grosse Pointe Blank, deal with the fear of spending years pursuing a career only to wake up one day and realize you hate what you do. Several characters in Reality Bites describe the divorces and frustrated dreams of their parents, and seem determined to avoid those mistakes -- yet their preferred option is to not try.

Even then, the movie has to cheat to make the "selling out" option look so unappealing and bohemian rebelliousness look so appealing. A major plot point is that Clearly-MTV-But-Not-Called-MTV-for-Legal-Reasons executive Stiller takes a videotape of Ryder's documentary, and shows it to network executives in New York, who he says are thrilled. But at a screening party in Houston, she's shocked to find her earnest exploration of her housemates' life challenges -- awaiting the results of an AIDS test, the gay one coming out to his mother, etc. -- has been heavily edited into crass pabulum.

 Stiller says he didn't know it would be edited that way either. So we're to believe that nobody watched the program they were about to screen at the party? Huh? (I suppose Stiller could be lying.) Winona's reaction is to storm out of the party, hurt and betrayed . . . instead of trying to salvage some of her original vision. (Did she sign a contract? Is this the final cut? All of these questions are ignored, to serve the plot's requirement that Stiller is the "bad guy" or at least the wrong guy, because he's a corporate sellout.)

After watching enough movies where the characters spent almost no time at work and live in lavish apartments, it's refreshing to watch one where the protagonists worry about paying the phone bill. But even here, the movie cheats by suggesting that stealing from your parents will do in a pinch. Winona's character gets cash from motorists and pays for their gasoline on her father's gas-station credit card, running up $900 in charges. [MKH calculated that would be $1,400 today.] The closing lines of the movie play the dad's reaction as sort of a joke. He might as well say, "Lucy, you got some 'splainin' to do!"

Why am I writing at great length about a 19-year-old movie? Because the criticisms of Generation X back in the 1990s -- they're lazy, they're educated but lack ambition and drive,  they're over-privileged whiners -- aren't that different from what we hear about Generation Y today. (To the extent one can generalize about an entire generation based on survey data, Generation X is pretty hard-working.) A lot of conservatives talk about today's 20-somethings in fatalist terms, as if they're all Occupy-protesting, Obama-backing hipsters with six figures of college debt from their post-graduate degrees in Puppetry Studies who want to enjoy a perpetual adolescence and free birth control.

Generation X grew up and got to work; 65 percent work full-time, 10 percent work part-time. What's more, 82 percent are homeowners, 74 percent have children, 70 percent are married, 66 percent have a 401(k) or other retirement plans, and only 6 percent live with their parents. Perhaps most surprising, 29 percent reported making $100,000 or more annually. To be conservative, you usually have to have something you want to conserve.

Of course, Generation X's maturation process had some help -- that booming economy of the 1990s and about a decade and a half of policies under Clinton and Bush that fueled that steady growth. With the policies of this administration in place, who knows when we'll next see steady growth and serious job creation. In fact, those policies may actually be impeding the process that prompts young people to drift towards the right as they age:

The U.S. birth rate has generally fallen since the Great Recession began in 2007, and some of the sharpest drops have been among women in the 20s. The birth rate for women ages 20 to 24 hit a record low of 85.3 births per 1,000 women in 2011, according to the most recent detailed data available from the Centers for Disease Control. For women ages 25 to 29, the 2011 birth rate of 107.2 births per 1,000 women was the lowest since 1976.

The drop comes amid a longer term trend toward women having their children later in life. The average age for a woman having her first child was 25.6 years old in 2011, up from 21.4 years old in 1970, according to the CDC.

It also has coincided with an excruciatingly long period of high unemployment and weak economic growth.

No kidding.

Broward Sheriff's Office to Citizens: Hey, Please Don't Riot After the Verdict, Okay?

This is rather ominous:

The Broward Sheriff's Office, working closely with the Sanford Police Department and other local law enforcement agencies, has coordinated a response plan in anticipation of the verdict.

Freedom of expression is a constitutional right. While raising your voice is encouraged, using your hands is not. BSO has created a public service announcement with the help of kids from the Jason Taylor Foundation, H.A.N.D.Y. (Helping Abused, Neglected, Disadvantaged Youth) and basketball star James Jones of the championship Miami Heat team urging young people not to let their emotions get the best of them.

"We don't have information about a specific event that might take place at the conclusion of the trial, but we encourage everyone to keep any protests peaceful," Sheriff Scott Israel said.

Members of the BSO Strategic Investigation Division have been monitoring the pulse of the situation, maintaining open lines of communication with community leaders, civic activists, members of the clergy, as well as local, state and federal agencies.

So, Broward Sheriff's Office doesn't quite think this has been a slam-dunk conviction, huh?

Dear media: How much do you think your guilty-as-sin, obviously-racially-motivated-outrage narrative has exacerbated this situation? How about the decision to give this trial gavel-to-gavel, around-the-clock coverage?

ADDENDUM: Breaking financial news overnight: My older son lost his second tooth in two days. Shares of Tooth Fairy™ Inc. have been plummeting in overnight trading.


NRO Digest — July 10, 2013

Today on National Review Online . . .

CHARLES C. W. COOKE: A storied gun maker and the town with which it thrives. Remington, U.S.A.

KEVIN D. WILLIAMSON: How a simple computer bug was mistaken for an act of war. Fear and Loathing at Commerce

THE EDITORS: Don't suspend military aid to Egypt. Give Egypt Time

JONAH GOLDBERG: The president's "buck passing" maybe be considered realism by his admirers, but it doesn't make allies. Obama Wings It in Egypt

ANDREW STILES: House Republicans have a plan to expose Democrats' hypocrisy on the employer mandate. Obama's Break for Big Business

WILL ALLEN: Terry McAuliffe's tax-shelter hypocrisy. Rise of the House of Ugland

BOBBY JINDAL: It's time to get something done. Botching Immigration Again

To read more, visit www.nationalreview.com


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A Sarah Palin for Senate Bid? Oh, Please! Oh, Please! A Sarah Palin for Senate Bid? Oh, Please! Oh, Please! Reviewed by Diogenes on July 10, 2013 Rating: 5

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